In a Newsweek article author John Alter lays out a potential scenario. Alter discusses a potential scenario that would leave McCain, not Obama, with the presidency. That seems unlikely as Obama is up five to ten points in polls around the nation. With the help of the media, it seems as if Obama has already locked up the election. However, 'it ain't over 'till the fat lady sings.' As history will tell, polls don't always accurately predict future outcomes. Also, numbers usually tighten up in the week before the election. On top of that, either candidate could make a major gaffe.
Interestingly enough, Alter doesn't include any of these facts in his scenario. He instead lists a multitude of reasons as to how Obama could lose. Hypothetically speaking, this is how he lost: As well as Obama did in bringing new voters to the table, what he couldn't do was bring in the LIVs or "low-information voters, the three fifths of the electorate that show up once every four years to vote for president but mostly hate politics. " Originally, they supported him, but in the end, they ended up voting for McCain partly because of legitimate reasons and partly because of race. Just as Obama wasn't able to bring in the LIVs, he was unable to bring in the independents who overwhelmingly supported McCain. When it came to the key states, Obama wasn't able to snag them either; He couldn't grab Ohio, a battleground state, which edged towards McCain; Florida and its older population went McCain's way; Colorado went to McCain with help from Sarah Palin and her frontier image; Virginia, which has a considerable African-American population also went to McCain due to overwhelming margins in the southern half of the state and; New Hampshire, who always liked the maverick, couldn't resist him. With all of these nightmares piling up in Obama's head, one more was added. He had done so well in getting them to vote during the primaries, but they were just "too busy." Most of the reasons as to why Obama lost were because he failed to do something, but when McCain finally pounded the issue of taxes and the possibility of a terrorist attack into the minds of voters, that was what did it.
Interestingly enough, Alter doesn't include any of these facts in his scenario. He instead lists a multitude of reasons as to how Obama could lose. Hypothetically speaking, this is how he lost: As well as Obama did in bringing new voters to the table, what he couldn't do was bring in the LIVs or "low-information voters, the three fifths of the electorate that show up once every four years to vote for president but mostly hate politics. " Originally, they supported him, but in the end, they ended up voting for McCain partly because of legitimate reasons and partly because of race. Just as Obama wasn't able to bring in the LIVs, he was unable to bring in the independents who overwhelmingly supported McCain. When it came to the key states, Obama wasn't able to snag them either; He couldn't grab Ohio, a battleground state, which edged towards McCain; Florida and its older population went McCain's way; Colorado went to McCain with help from Sarah Palin and her frontier image; Virginia, which has a considerable African-American population also went to McCain due to overwhelming margins in the southern half of the state and; New Hampshire, who always liked the maverick, couldn't resist him. With all of these nightmares piling up in Obama's head, one more was added. He had done so well in getting them to vote during the primaries, but they were just "too busy." Most of the reasons as to why Obama lost were because he failed to do something, but when McCain finally pounded the issue of taxes and the possibility of a terrorist attack into the minds of voters, that was what did it.
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The result of next Tuesday's election may be surprising or it may be completely expected, but whatever the case, one should be prepared for any outcome.