In a Newsweek article author John Alter lays out a potential scenario. Alter discusses a potential scenario that would leave McCain, not Obama, with the presidency. That seems unlikely as Obama is up five to ten points in polls around the nation. With the help of the media, it seems as if Obama has already locked up the election. However, 'it ain't over 'till the fat lady sings.' As history will tell, polls don't always accurately predict future outcomes. Also, numbers usually tighten up in the week before the election. On top of that, either candidate could make a major gaffe.
Interestingly enough, Alter doesn't include any of these facts in his scenario. He instead lists a multitude of reasons as to how Obama could lose. Hypothetically speaking, this is how he lost: As well as Obama did in bringing new voters to the table, what he couldn't do was bring in the LIVs or "low-information voters, the three fifths of the electorate that show up once every four years to vote for president but mostly hate politics. " Originally, they supported him, but in the end, they ended up voting for McCain partly because of legitimate reasons and partly because of race. Just as Obama wasn't able to bring in the LIVs, he was unable to bring in the independents who overwhelmingly supported McCain. When it came to the key states, Obama wasn't able to snag them either; He couldn't grab Ohio, a battleground state, which edged towards McCain; Florida and its older population went McCain's way; Colorado went to McCain with help from Sarah Palin and her frontier image; Virginia, which has a considerable African-American population also went to McCain due to overwhelming margins in the southern half of the state and; New Hampshire, who always liked the maverick, couldn't resist him. With all of these nightmares piling up in Obama's head, one more was added. He had done so well in getting them to vote during the primaries, but they were just "too busy." Most of the reasons as to why Obama lost were because he failed to do something, but when McCain finally pounded the issue of taxes and the possibility of a terrorist attack into the minds of voters, that was what did it.
Interestingly enough, Alter doesn't include any of these facts in his scenario. He instead lists a multitude of reasons as to how Obama could lose. Hypothetically speaking, this is how he lost: As well as Obama did in bringing new voters to the table, what he couldn't do was bring in the LIVs or "low-information voters, the three fifths of the electorate that show up once every four years to vote for president but mostly hate politics. " Originally, they supported him, but in the end, they ended up voting for McCain partly because of legitimate reasons and partly because of race. Just as Obama wasn't able to bring in the LIVs, he was unable to bring in the independents who overwhelmingly supported McCain. When it came to the key states, Obama wasn't able to snag them either; He couldn't grab Ohio, a battleground state, which edged towards McCain; Florida and its older population went McCain's way; Colorado went to McCain with help from Sarah Palin and her frontier image; Virginia, which has a considerable African-American population also went to McCain due to overwhelming margins in the southern half of the state and; New Hampshire, who always liked the maverick, couldn't resist him. With all of these nightmares piling up in Obama's head, one more was added. He had done so well in getting them to vote during the primaries, but they were just "too busy." Most of the reasons as to why Obama lost were because he failed to do something, but when McCain finally pounded the issue of taxes and the possibility of a terrorist attack into the minds of voters, that was what did it.
\
The result of next Tuesday's election may be surprising or it may be completely expected, but whatever the case, one should be prepared for any outcome.
3 comments:
You know Karwehn...you seem to be making an assumption here (and we all know what why we shouldn't assume) that a certain candidate is going to win based off of mulitiple polls from newspapers such as the New York Times, the Start Tribune, and other...shall we say...liberal newspapers. Now, I do agree that Obama has an edge, but that could very well be his downfall. He has so many ads running for him, and so many polls tipping his way that many, many people could just assume (there's our favorite word again) that he will win and not vote. If this were to occur in many key battlegrougnd states, he will certainly lose a large amount of electoral votes. This article lays out an interesting outlook, and however much you may not like it, it is certainly a highly plausible scenario for Tuesday's election. However, I commend you for finding a highly educational, and non-liberal (HALLELUJAH), article.
It does seem right now (at least from my perspective) that the race is locked up for Obama and McCain is on the outs. If however the media is misleading us and McCain has any chance of winning, I know quite a few people who would celebrate readily. I don't pretend to know anything significant about politics, however I do know that I don't support what Obama promulgates. Although the string of possible ways to lose is a long shot to happen, this world can be a crazy place and stranger things have happened. I'm certainly anticipating this election day, even if only to see how close McCain was able to get.
Perhaps it is a fault of mine but I just can't help finding conservatives unintelligent. It just doesn't make sense to me how someone could have a belief system such as that. I think that America is beginning to remember that the last time it had a surplus was when Bill Clinton, a "tax and spend" liberal was president. At this point there is very little that Obama can do to lose his edge on Mccain.
Post a Comment